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Market Report For Our Communities – January 2026

Winter didn’t tiptoe into 2026… it crunched in under boots, hung frost on the eaves, and quietly rearranged the real estate chessboard across Georgian Bay .

January is never the loudest month, but it is revealing. Here’s what the numbers are whispering in our communities:


Midland – Quietly Confident

January’s average sale price came in at $507,140, with homes selling at 97% of list price.

That’s down slightly from December’s $522,853, which is typical after the holiday surge cools.

What we saw:

  • 15 sales in January (down from 17)
  • 88 active listings (down from 92)
  • 38 new listings… up from 16 in December

The standout here is new inventory. Sellers are stepping into the market earlier this year, and buyers have more options than they did just a month ago. Even with a small seasonal adjustment in price, homes are still selling very close to asking. That’s stability.


Penetanguishene – A Numbers Game

The average price in January landed at $412,000, selling at 93.5% of list price.

That’s a sharp shift from December’s $681,125. But context is everything: there were only 2 sales in January compared to 8 the month before. With that small a sample size, one or two unique properties can dramatically move the average.

Other activity:

  • 47 active listings (up from 44)
  • 20 new listings (up from just 3 in December)

Inventory is building. Sales were light. Expect more reliable trends to form as volume increases heading toward spring.


Tiny Township – Inventory Rising

January’s average price was $667,544, with homes selling at 95.1% of list price.

That’s down from December’s $832,660, alongside:

  • 9 sales (down from 15)
  • 107 active listings (up from 100)
  • 43 new listings (up from 23)

Tiny is seeing a meaningful increase in supply. Buyers have more leverage than they did in December, and sellers will need to be precise with pricing as competition grows.


Tay Township – Steady Ground

Average sale price reached $589,833, with homes selling at 96.9% of list price.

Compared to December’s $608,418:

  • 6 sales (down from 11)
  • 81 active listings (unchanged month over month)
  • 38 new listings (up from 24)

Tay remains consistent. Inventory is growing, but overall supply is stable, positioning the market for a more active spring.


The January Takeaway

Across Midland, Penetanguishene, Tiny Township, and Tay Township, the pattern is clear:

Sales slowed seasonally.
New listings increased significantly.
Prices adjusted modestly, with strong list-to-sale ratios still holding.

January sets the tone, but spring writes the chorus.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling in 2026, now is the time to plan. The board is set… and the next moves are already underway.

Trust your local experts to guide you through the process and take advantage of the current market. Ask us about our FREE Home Market Analysis to determine exactly how much your Home is worth in today’s Market.

All data correct as of February 24, 2026, data gathered by the One Point Association Of Realtors based on January 2025.

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Freeze–Thaw Season in Simcoe County: How to Protect Your Home from Wet Basements, Flooding & Ice Dams

If you live near Georgian Bay, you know this stretch of winter isn’t gentle. One afternoon it’s melting snow and dripping eaves. By nightfall, everything is locked back in ice.

That constant thawing and refreezing does more than make sidewalks slippery. It quietly stress tests your home.

Here’s how to stay ahead of it.


Clear Snow Away from Your Foundation

When the snow starts to melt, all that water has to go somewhere. If snow is piled tight against your foundation, you’re essentially guiding it toward your basement walls.

This time of year, we always recommend pulling snow back at least a couple of feet from the foundation, especially around window wells. It seems simple, but it’s one of the most effective ways to reduce the risk of seepage during heavy melts. Water will always follow the easiest path. The goal is to make sure that path leads away from your home, not into it.


Pay Attention to Your Downspouts

During freeze–thaw season, your eavestrough system suddenly goes from dormant to working overtime.

Take a look at where your downspouts are directing water. If they’re dumping meltwater right beside the foundation, that water can pool, freeze overnight, and repeat the cycle the next day. Over time, that constant pressure increases the chance of moisture finding its way inside.

Ideally, downspouts should extend several feet away from the house so water has time and distance to disperse safely.


Watch for Ice Dams on the Roof

Ice dams often start quietly. Snow melts on the warmer upper portion of your roof, runs down toward the colder eaves, and refreezes. Eventually, a ridge of ice forms and traps water behind it. That water can back up under shingles and into the attic.

If you notice thick icicles lining the roof edge or damp spots appearing on ceilings during warmer afternoons, it’s worth investigating. Long term, proper attic insulation and ventilation are the real solution. In the short term, safely removing excess snow buildup along roof edges can reduce the risk.


Make Sure Your Sump Pump Is Ready

This is prime time for sump pump issues. If you have one, now is the time to test it, not during a heavy melt.

Pouring a bucket of water into the pit should trigger it to activate. It’s also important to check that the discharge line outside isn’t frozen or blocked. During rapid thaws, your sump pump may be the only thing standing between a dry basement and a very expensive cleanup.


Take a Walk Around Your Property

As snow melts, you’ll quickly see where water naturally pools. Pay attention to soggy patches near the foundation or low spots around window wells.

Homes in our communities experience strong freeze–thaw swings because of our proximity to the bay. Over time, minor grading issues can become bigger drainage problems. Catching them early makes all the difference.


Most spring basement issues don’t happen overnight. They build slowly during this in-between season.

A few small preventative steps now can protect your home’s value, avoid major repairs, and give you peace of mind as we move toward warmer weather.

If you’re unsure how your property handles drainage or you’re thinking of selling this year, I’m always happy to take a look and offer guidance.