Winter didn’t tiptoe into 2026… it crunched in under boots, hung frost on the eaves, and quietly rearranged the real estate chessboard across Georgian Bay .
January is never the loudest month, but it is revealing. Here’s what the numbers are whispering in our communities:
Midland – Quietly Confident
January’s average sale price came in at $507,140, with homes selling at 97% of list price.
That’s down slightly from December’s $522,853, which is typical after the holiday surge cools.
What we saw:
- 15 sales in January (down from 17)
- 88 active listings (down from 92)
- 38 new listings… up from 16 in December
The standout here is new inventory. Sellers are stepping into the market earlier this year, and buyers have more options than they did just a month ago. Even with a small seasonal adjustment in price, homes are still selling very close to asking. That’s stability.
Penetanguishene – A Numbers Game
The average price in January landed at $412,000, selling at 93.5% of list price.
That’s a sharp shift from December’s $681,125. But context is everything: there were only 2 sales in January compared to 8 the month before. With that small a sample size, one or two unique properties can dramatically move the average.
Other activity:
- 47 active listings (up from 44)
- 20 new listings (up from just 3 in December)
Inventory is building. Sales were light. Expect more reliable trends to form as volume increases heading toward spring.
Tiny Township – Inventory Rising
January’s average price was $667,544, with homes selling at 95.1% of list price.
That’s down from December’s $832,660, alongside:
- 9 sales (down from 15)
- 107 active listings (up from 100)
- 43 new listings (up from 23)
Tiny is seeing a meaningful increase in supply. Buyers have more leverage than they did in December, and sellers will need to be precise with pricing as competition grows.
Tay Township – Steady Ground
Average sale price reached $589,833, with homes selling at 96.9% of list price.
Compared to December’s $608,418:
- 6 sales (down from 11)
- 81 active listings (unchanged month over month)
- 38 new listings (up from 24)
Tay remains consistent. Inventory is growing, but overall supply is stable, positioning the market for a more active spring.
The January Takeaway
Across Midland, Penetanguishene, Tiny Township, and Tay Township, the pattern is clear:
Sales slowed seasonally.
New listings increased significantly.
Prices adjusted modestly, with strong list-to-sale ratios still holding.
January sets the tone, but spring writes the chorus.
If you’re thinking about buying or selling in 2026, now is the time to plan. The board is set… and the next moves are already underway.
Trust your local experts to guide you through the process and take advantage of the current market. Ask us about our FREE Home Market Analysis to determine exactly how much your Home is worth in today’s Market.
All data correct as of February 24, 2026, data gathered by the One Point Association Of Realtors based on January 2025.
Comments (0)