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Winter didn’t tiptoe into 2026… it crunched in under boots, hung frost on the eaves, and quietly rearranged the real estate chessboard across Georgian Bay .

January is never the loudest month, but it is revealing. Here’s what the numbers are whispering in our communities:

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Midland – Quietly Confident

January’s average sale price came in at $507,140, with homes selling at 97% of list price.

That’s down slightly from December’s $522,853, which is typical after the holiday surge cools.

What we saw:

• 15 sales in January (down from 17)
• 88 active listings (down from 92)
• 38 new listings… up from 16 in December

The standout here is new inventory. Sellers are stepping into the market earlier this year, and buyers have more options than they did just a month ago. Even with a small seasonal adjustment in price, homes are still selling very close to asking. That’s stability.

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Penetanguishene – A Numbers Game

The average price in January landed at $412,000, selling at 93.5% of list price.

That’s a sharp shift from December’s $681,125. But context is everything: there were only 2 sales in January compared to 8 the month before. With that small a sample size, one or two unique properties can dramatically move the average.

Other activity:

• 47 active listings (up from 44)
• 20 new listings (up from just 3 in December)

Inventory is building. Sales were light. Expect more reliable trends to form as volume increases heading toward spring.

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Tiny Township – Inventory Rising

January’s average price was $667,544, with homes selling at 95.1% of list price.

That’s down from December’s $832,660, alongside:

• 9 sales (down from 15)
• 107 active listings (up from 100)
• 43 new listings (up from 23)

Tiny is seeing a meaningful increase in supply. Buyers have more leverage than they did in December, and sellers will need to be precise with pricing as competition grows.

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Tay Township – Steady Ground

Average sale price reached $589,833, with homes selling at 96.9% of list price.

Compared to December’s $608,418:

• 6 sales (down from 11)
• 81 active listings (unchanged month over month)
• 38 new listings (up from 24)

Tay remains consistent. Inventory is growing, but overall supply is stable, positioning the market for a more active spring.

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The January Takeaway

Across Midland, Penetanguishene, Tiny Township, and Tay Township, the pattern is clear:

Sales slowed seasonally.
New listings increased significantly.
Prices adjusted modestly, with strong list-to-sale ratios still holding.

January sets the tone, but spring writes the chorus.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling in 2026, now is the time to plan. The board is set… and the next moves are already underway.

Trust your local experts to guide you through the process and take advantage of the current market. Ask us about our FREE Home Market Analysis to determine exactly how much your Home is worth in today’s Market.

All data correct as of February 24, 2026, data gathered by the One Point Association Of Realtors based on January 2025.

The Georgian Bay real estate market showed a mix of seasonal cooling and community-specific momentum over the most recent reporting period. While activity remains more measured than earlier in the year, pricing trends and buyer behaviour continue to vary notably from town to town. Below is a closer look at how each local market performed, followed by a broader comparison across the region.

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Midland

Midland recorded an average sale price of $522,853, with homes selling at 94.6% of list price. Compared to November’s average of $582,438, this represents a month-over-month decrease of $59,585, or approximately 10.2%. This decline reflects a seasonal softening in pricing, paired with more cautious buyer activity.

Sales activity remained modest, with 17 properties sold during the month. Inventory levels remain elevated, with 92 active listings, including 16 new listings added during the period. Buyers in Midland currently benefit from greater choice and negotiating room, while sellers are facing a more competitive landscape that rewards accurate pricing and strong presentation.

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Penetanguishene

Penetanguishene moved in the opposite direction, posting an average sale price of $681,125, selling at 96.7% of list price. This marks an increase of $65,450, or roughly 10.6%, compared to November’s average of $615,675.

With just 8 properties sold, sales volume remained low, but pricing strength suggests continued demand for the right properties. There are currently 44 properties available, with only 3 new listings added during the month. Limited new inventory has helped support pricing, creating a relatively balanced environment despite lower overall transaction numbers.

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Tiny Township

Tiny Township continued to command some of the highest prices in the region, with an average sale price of $832,660and a 94.4% list-to-sale ratio. This reflects a month-over-month increase of $52,798, or approximately 6.8%, compared to November’s average of $779,862.

There were 15 properties sold, supported by a healthy level of new supply. Inventory stands at 100 active listings, including 23 new listings added during the month. This growing selection provides buyers with more options, while sellers continue to benefit from the township’s strong long-term desirability, particularly for lifestyle and waterfront-focused properties.

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Tay Township

Tay Township remained remarkably stable. The average sale price came in at $608,418, with homes selling at a strong 96.9% of list price. This represents a negligible decrease of $26, effectively flat compared to November’s average of $608,444.

A total of 11 properties sold, with inventory sitting at 81 active listings, including 21 new listings during the month. Tay’s consistency highlights a balanced market, where pricing has held steady despite broader seasonal trends and an influx of new listings.

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Georgian Bay Area Comparison & Market Takeaway

Across the Georgian Bay area, market performance continues to diverge by community:

Pricing trends ranged from a notable pullback in Midland to solid gains in Penetanguishene and Tiny Township, while Tay Township remained flat. Inventory levels are generally elevated, particularly in Midland and Tiny Township, giving buyers more leverage and time to make decisions. List-to-sale ratios remain healthy across all communities, hovering in the mid-to-high 90% range, indicating that well-priced homes continue to sell close to asking.

Overall, the market reflects a seasonally adjusted but stable environment. Buyers are benefiting from increased selection and reduced urgency, while sellers who price strategically and prepare their homes effectively are still achieving strong results. As we move further into the year, shifts in interest rates and renewed spring activity will be key factors to watch across the Georgian Bay region.

Trust your local experts to guide you through the process and take advantage of the current market. Ask us about our FREE Home Market Analysis to determine exactly how much your Home is worth in today’s Market.

All data correct as of January 28, 2026, data gathered by the One Point Association Of Realtors based on December 2025.